Inflation responses to commodity price shocks : how and why do countries differ? /

Gelos, Gaston.

Inflation responses to commodity price shocks : how and why do countries differ? / prepared by Gaston Gelos, Yulia Ustyugova. - [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2012. - 1 online resource (32 pages) - - IMF working paper, WP/225 2227-8885 ; . - IMF working paper ; WP/12/225. .

Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed September 12, 2012). "Western Hemisphere Department." "September 2012."

Includes bibliographical references.

Cover; Contents; I. Introduction and Summary; II. Literature Review; III. Data; Structural characteristics; Monetary and exchange-rate regimes; Possible presence of fiscal dominance; Governance; Business cycle factors; Policy reactions; IV. Does Inflation Revert to Core Inflation or Vice Versa?; V. Phillips-Curve Estimations; Panel estimations; Tables; 1. Phillips Curves-Panel Estimations; VI. The 2008 Commodity-Price Shock; Changes in headline inflation; Changes in core inflation; 2. Change in Headline Inflation around 2008 Shock; 3. Change in Core Inflation around 2008 Shock. VII. ConclusionsReferences; Appendices; I. List of Countries Included; II. Data Sources.

This paper relates the inflationary impact of commodity price shocks across countries to a broad range of structural characteristics and policy frameworks over the period 2001-2010, using several approaches. The analysis suggests that economies with higher food shares in CPI baskets, fuel intensities, and pre-existing inflation levels were more prone to experience sustained inflationary effects from commodity price shocks. Countries with more independent central banks and higher governance scores seem to have contained the impact of these shocks better. The effect of the presence of inflation targeting regimes, however, appears very modest and not evident during the 2008 food price shock. The evidence suggests that trade openness, financial development, dollarization, and labor market flexibility do not significantly influence the way in which domestic inflation responds to international commodity price shocks.


English.

1475593082 9781475593082 1475510241 9781475510249 1475551754 9781475551754 1475523548 9781475523546

10.5089/9781475593082.001


Inflation (Finance)--Econometric models.
Prices--Econometric models.
Inflation (Finance)
Inflation, Economic
Inflation--Modèles économétriques.
Prix--Modèles économétriques.
Inflation.
BUSINESS & ECONOMICS--Finance.
Inflation (Finance)--Econometric models
Prices--Econometric models

HG3881.5.I58 / W67 No. 225eb

332.152 332.41

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