Oil and the world economy [electronic resource] : some possible futures / Michael Kumhof and Dirk Muir.
Material type:
TextSeries: IMF working paper ; WP12/256.Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, Research Dept., 2012.Description: 1 online resource (31 p.)ISBN: - 9781475539974 (electronic bk.)
- 1475539975 (electronic bk.)
- 338.2/728 23
- HD9560.4
| Item type | Current library | Collection | Call number | Status | Date due | Barcode | Item holds | |
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eBook
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e-Library | EBSCO Business | Available |
"October 2012".
"This paper, using a six-region DSGE model of the world economy, assesses the GDP and current account implications of permanent oil supply shocks hitting the world economy at an unspecified future date. For modest-sized shocks and conventional production technologies the effects are modest. But for larger shocks, for elasticities of substitution that decline as oil usage is reduced to a minimum, and for production functions in which oil acts as a critical enabler of technologies, GDP growth could drop significantly. Also, oil prices could become so high that smooth adjustment, as assumed in the model, may become very difficult."- -Abstract.