TY - BOOK AU - Unalmis,Deren AU - Unalmis,Ibrahim AU - Unsal,D.Filiz ED - International Monetary Fund. TI - On the sources and consequences of oil price shocks: the role of storage T2 - IMF working paper SN - 9781475573565 AV - HG3881.5.I58 W67 No. 12/270eb U1 - 338.2/3 23 PY - 2012/// CY - [Washington, D.C.] PB - International Monetary Fund KW - Petroleum products KW - Prices KW - Econometric models KW - Storage KW - fast KW - Electronic books KW - BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Industries / General KW - bisacsh N1 - Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed Nov. 26, 2012); "Research Department"--Page 2 of pdf; "November 2012"--Page 2 of pdf; Includes bibliographical references (pages 22-25) N2 - "Building on recent work on the role of speculation and inventories in oil markets, we embed a competitive oil storage model within a DSGE model of the U.S. economy. This enables us to formally analyze the impact of a (speculative) storage demand shock and to assess how the effects of various demand and supply shocks change in the presence of oil storage facility. We find that business-cycle driven oil demand shocks are the most important drivers of U.S. oil price fluctuations during 1982-2007. Disregarding the storage facility in the model causes a considerable upward bias in the estimated role of oil supply shocks in driving oil price fluctuations. Our results also confirm that a change in the composition of shocks helps explain the resilience of the macroeconomic environment to the oil price surge after 2003. Finally, speculative storage is shown to have a mitigating or amplifying role depending on the nature of the shock"--Abstract UR - https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&db=nlabk&AN=520718 ER -